Published Dec 06, 2023 by Ernesto Becerra
HOUSTON (Dec. 7, 2023) -大休斯顿合作伙伴关系预测休斯顿地区将在2024年看到就业增长, although at a slower pace, as interest rates, 劳动力市场吃紧和商业房地产市场动荡给经济带来压力.
In the Partnership’s forecast, the region is projected to add 57,600 jobs, 在大流行后创纪录的就业增长之后,恢复到更可持续的速度. 截至2023年10月,休斯顿比疫情前增加了近20万个就业岗位.
“自疫情爆发以来,休斯顿地区一直在冲刺. So, while growth will slow down next year, Houston’s economy remains resilient,” Partnership Chief Economist Patrick Jankowski said.
According to the forecast, job losses in 2024 will occur in construction, finance and insurance, information, 而房地产行业则受到利率上升的影响, tighter lending standards and ongoing labor shortages.
There is a growing consensus among economists that the U.S. 在期待已久的经济衰退今年从未出现之后,明年能否避开经济衰退. 根据《Hga010皇冠软件下载》对商业和学术经济学家的最新季度调查, 他们认为明年经济衰退的可能性为48%, the first time it was below 50 percent since 2022.
But there is concern that events beyond the U.S. 美联储的控制,比如美国的地缘政治,仍可能引发经济衰退. 休斯顿的经济与全国经济直接相关,几乎肯定会跟随美国经济的发展.S. into any recession.
就业预测的各行业细分和影响每个行业的因素可在 full report.